Sunday’s large NBA slate yielded a 2-for-4 day in my NBA Finest Bets, however I’d like to have a fair higher day on Monday with 14 groups in motion.
The slate begins with Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors taking up the Charlotte Hornets for the second time in every week, and plainly they’ll get Jimmy Butler (possible) again in motion after he missed Saturday’s loss to Philadelphia.
Golden State is considered one of two unfold picks that I’m eying for Monday, and there are two under-the-radar prop bets that I’m as nicely.
Right here’s an entire breakdown of every of the performs for March 3.
Discover Peter Dewey’s NBA betting document right here (futures included). You too can observe my each day performs on BetStamp right here.
Portland Path Blazers +3.5 (-108) vs. Philadelphia 76ers – 0.5 unit
That is the second evening of a back-to-back for the Blazers after they almost upset the Donovan Mitchell-less Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday.
Portland enters this recreation with the very best towards the unfold document within the NBA on the second evening of a back-to-back this season (7-1-1), and it is usually 14-12-1 towards the unfold as a street canine after overlaying on Sunday.
Now, it takes on a Philly crew that has lined the unfold only one time in 14 tries as a house favourite . The Sixers are with out Joel Embiid and may very well be down Paul George (questionable) on this matchup.
Plus, over their final 10 video games, the Blazers are eleventh within the NBA in web score whereas Philly is all the way in which down in twenty ninth.
I can’t lay the factors with this depleted Sixers crew, particularly towards a surging squad like Portland.
Khris Middleton UNDER 23.5 Factors, Rebounds and Assists (-120) – 0.5 unit
Veteran ahead Khris Middleton has performed in 4 video games with the Washington Wizards, and whereas he has helped elevate their ceiling, I’m nonetheless not offered on him stuffing the stat sheet on Monday towards a tricky Miami Warmth protection.
Right here’s a take a look at some key Middleton stats over his 4 video games in Washington:
|
Recreation |
Minutes |
PRA |
|---|---|---|
|
vs. Milwaukee |
24:32 |
19 |
|
vs. Brooklyn |
25:53 |
15 |
|
vs. Portland |
24:01 |
17 |
|
@ Charlotte |
24:04 |
28 |
Whereas Middleton did clear this prop towards the Hornets on Saturday evening, Miami is a lot better than the crew that has the worst web score within the NBA over its final 10 video games.
Plus, Middleton’s ceiling is proscribed by the truth that he’s performed not more than 25:53 in a single recreation or taken greater than 10 pictures. I can’t belief him at this quantity on Monday.
Keegan Murray OVER 6.5 Rebounds (-115) – 0.5 unit
I like this matchup for Sacramento Kings ahead Keegan Murray, as almost each key huge man has been dominated out on Monday.
Domantas Sabonis is out for the Kings, and Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford and Dereck Full of life II are all out for Dallas. Along with that, the Dallas Mavericks received’t have ahead PJ Washington lively tonight both.
So, Murray, who’s averaging 6.9 rebounds per recreation, could also be requested to hold a giant load on the glass for the Kings towards a small-ball Mavs lineup.
Murray has cleared 6.5 boards in two of the three video games that he’s performed with out Sabonis this season, grabbing 12 rebounds within the final recreation that the star heart missed. Along with that, Dallas ranks twenty ninth within the NBA in rebounding share over its final 10 video games (solely the San Antonio Spurs are worse).
Murray has additionally cleared this prop in 10 of his final 20 video games, so he’s a risk to hit seven or extra boards even below extra regular circumstances.
Golden State Warriors -12 (-112) vs. Charlotte Hornets – 0.5 unit
Again on Feb. 25, the Warriors dominated the Hornets in Golden State, profitable by 36 factors.
Whereas I’m not anticipating that huge of a blowout on the street, the Warriors are 7-1 straight up within the video games that Jimmy Butler has performed on this season.
Not solely that, however Golden State is fourth within the NBA in web score over its final 10 video games (+10.9) whereas the Hornets are useless final over that stretch at a surprising -19.6.
Charlotte has double-digit losses to Golden State, Washington, Sacramento and Portland since Feb. 22, and it additionally misplaced by seven to a shorthanded Dallas Mavericks squad.
After watching the Hornets lose by double digits at house to Washington, I can’t take them right here. Golden State has been respectable towards the unfold when favored on the street (8-7-1), and it’s by far the extra gifted crew on this matchup.
With a win, the Warriors would soar into the No. 6 seed within the West, so I don’t count on them to fiddle on Monday evening.
Odds refresh periodically and are topic to alter.
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